Edge Desk
Player prop value scanner
Live lines from US books, de-vigged into a consensus fair probability, then compared against the best price available. Edge is real but thin — treat every number as an estimate, not a promise.
Pulling lines…
How this works: for every player line we convert each book's two-sided prices to implied probabilities, strip the vig, then take the median across books as the fair probability. That fair number is compared to the best available price — the difference is expected value. Kelly is the full-Kelly stake as a percentage of bankroll; most bettors use a quarter of it. Consensus pricing is a good baseline, not a crystal ball, and no model beats a book you got limited from. 21+. Bet what you can afford to lose.
Reading the confidence score
High = 70+ confidence. Medium = 50–69. Low = 30–49. Thin = below 30. The score weighs how many books price both sides, how tightly they agree, how standard the line is, the hold, snapshot freshness, and whether the edge looks plausible. A thin consensus can still produce a real edge, but the error band is wide.